Tuesday, September 27, 2011

‘Panic selling’ grips investors

Tuesday, 27 September 2011 02:17  
Miguel R. Camus / Reporter 

Philippine stocks slid anew on Monday as investors continued to liquidate positions in what some analyst are already calling “panic selling.”

The Philippine benchmark Index lost another 4.24 percent, or 164.74 points, to 3,721.22, said to be the lowest close since September 2, 2010.

The benchmark measure had already declined over 18 percent from the year’s record high of 4,550.52 in August mainly as fears mount that the global economy could enter another recession.

World stock markets also remained volatile as investors grew increasingly convinced that Greece would default on its debts, an event that economists say has the potential to worsen a global downturn.

Stocks were mixed in early European trading. Britain’s FTSE 100 fell 0.5 percent to 5,040.61. But Germany’s DAX gained 1.6 percent to 5,280.93 and the CAC-40 in Paris gained 0.9 percent to 2,836.70.

Wall Street was headed higher, with the Dow Jones industrial futures up 0.2 percent to 10,716. S&P 500 futures rose 0.4 percent at 1,134.

Negative sentiment was most intense in Asia, where markets closed sharply lower. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index slid 2.2 percent to 8,374.13—its lowest close since April 2009. South Korea’s Kospi fell 2.6 percent to end at 1,652.71 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 1.5 percent to 17,407.80. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 receded 1 percent to 3,863.90.

“People expected over the weekend that European finance ministers and [International Monetary Fund] officials would probably announce some concrete plans to stabilize the euro zone. But it came out empty again,” said Jackson Wong, vice president at Tanrich Securities in Hong Kong.

Everything is so negative right now. People are waiting for a positive catalyst to get back into the market,” Wong said. “The road ahead is very unclear.”

A stubbornly strong yen also weighed on Japan’s export sector because it makes Japanese goods more expensive abroad.

There are already signs of panic going on and all markets are being affected which during a normal situation does not happen. Some investors are no longer asking about fundamentals anymore,” April Lee-Tan, research head at stock brokerage firm CitisecOnline, said in a phone interview on Monday.

Tan said selling could have intensified after the PSEi index fell below the 3,800 psychological barrier. “Whatever bargain hunting there was disappeared. They probably decided to liquidate all positions and wait on the sidelines,” she said.

Tan said the next psychological support is at the 3,500 level. At that level, the PSE index is valued at about 12 times earnings, regarded as a “cheap” level historically, she said.

Joey Roxas, president of stock brokerage firm Eagle Equities Inc., said there is still room for the market to move lower, although selling could slow down in the latter part of this week.

Roxas said part of the sell-off was due to then-“expensive” PSE index catching up with losses in the rest of the region alongside fund redemptions.

“We are already in a downtrend,” Roxas said, adding that investors looking to enter the market could take small positions at this point but should hold back from making big investments given the current level of uncertainty.

Meanwhile, the broader all-shares index also declined 2.94 percent to 2,700.58. Volume slightly slowed from Friday at P9.39 billion, while foreign selling intensified to P852.37 million.

All subsectors ended in the red, again led by the mining and oil sector, which declined 8.22 percent.

The PSE index is already down 479.92 points, or 11.4 percent, since the start of 2011. (With AP)

No comments: